A recent shock in artificial intelligence stocks, driven by concerns over the low-cost Chinese AI model, could set the stage for broader gains in the U.S. stock market, potentially moving beyond the narrow group of tech shares that have dominated the current bull market.
The tech sector, led by mega-cap companies, has been the primary driver of market growth. Over the past two years, the S&P 500’s tech sector has surged about 90%, far outpacing the broader index. However, stocks of major tech firms like Nvidia, Broadcom, and Oracle took a hit on Monday as investors reacted to the impact of DeepSeek’s AI model, a new low-cost competitor from China.
Despite the drop, there are signs of a broader market rotation. While the S&P 500 fell by 1.5%, roughly 70% of the index’s constituents saw gains, indicating a shift away from the dominance of big tech. The S&P 500 growth index, which is tech-heavy, dropped about 3.6%, while the value stock index rose by nearly 1%, marking the largest one-day advantage for value stocks over growth in decades.
This development has led some analysts to predict a more balanced market leadership, which could benefit investors by diversifying opportunities beyond the tech sector. Keith Lerner from Truist Advisory Services pointed out that this shift would provide a broader range of profitable areas for investors.
The Magnificent Seven tech stocks—Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla—have been the cornerstone of market gains, accounting for 55% of the S&P 500’s total return since 2022. However, these stocks have recently underperformed, leading to speculation that other sectors may begin to lead market growth.
While many investors remain bullish on tech, there is growing sentiment that the earnings strength of the Magnificent Seven may start to level with the rest of the market. In 2025, earnings for these stocks are expected to rise 19%, compared to 12.3% for the broader index. As quarterly earnings reports come in, including from Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla, investors will be closely watching for signals that the market is broadening.
Peter Tuz, president of Chase Investment Counsel, remarked that Monday’s market drop acted as a wake-up call for investors who had viewed tech stocks as invincible, potentially leading to a shift in investment towards other sectors.
While tech bounced back on Tuesday, increasing by over 3%, analysts like Robert Pavlik from Dakota Wealth Management see an opportunity for a rotation into companies that could benefit from more affordable AI, particularly software firms. The impact of DeepSeek could ultimately lead to a shift in market dynamics, though it may take time for a broader market expansion to fully materialize.
