Shares of SoFi Technologies (SOFI.O) dropped 6% on Thursday following a downgrade from KBW, which raised concerns over the fintech firm’s high valuation and ambitious financial targets. KBW analysts downgraded the stock to “underperform” and set a price target of $8, nearly half of SoFi’s most recent closing price.
The downgrade highlights the challenges faced by startups like SoFi, a digital banking and brokerage platform offering loans, credit cards, and investment services, as they transition into established financial service providers. KBW noted that while the economy is strong, interest rates are low, and SoFi has shown growth in scale and profitability, the stock’s valuation has become “overstretched” across various financial multiples.
Analysts expressed skepticism about SoFi’s ability to meet its 2026 earnings per share forecasts and its long-term target of a 20%-30% return on tangible common equity (ROTCE), deeming these goals difficult to achieve. The company’s stock was last trading at $14.53, and if current levels hold, it is poised to close out its fourth consecutive session of losses. Since October, the stock had nearly doubled in value.
SoFi’s valuation stands at 69 times expected earnings for 2025, compared to the median of 12.2 times for consumer digital lenders, according to KBW.
SoFi did not immediately respond to requests for comment.