Delay Alert: GTA 6 Release Unlikely by March 2025, Indicates Take-Two Revenue Forecast

Take-Two’s Fiscal 2025 Projection: Net Bookings Expected to Surpass $7 Billion

Take-Two Interactive Software’s latest financial forecast delivered a blow to market expectations, with fourth-quarter bookings anticipated to fall below analyst projections. The company revised its annual estimates downwards, citing indications of weakened demand for its gaming titles like NBA 2K. Following the announcement, Take-Two’s shares plummeted by 10 percent in after-hours trading.

Factors contributing to this downturn include reduced consumer spending and intensified competition from industry giants such as Electronic Arts and Microsoft-owned Activision Blizzard. Take-Two’s projected fourth-quarter bookings range from $1.27 billion (approximately Rs. 10,542 crore) to $1.32 billion (approximately Rs. 10,957 crore), a significant deviation from analysts’ anticipated figure of $1.51 billion (approximately Rs. 12,534 crore), as reported by LSEG data.

It also cut its projection for full-year bookings to a range of $5.25 billion (roughly Rs. 43,578 crore) to $5.30 billion (roughly Rs. 43,993 crore) from its earlier forecast of $5.45 billion (roughly Rs. 45,239 crore) to $5.55 billion (roughly Rs. 46,069 crore).

“The forecast cut is almost entirely attributable to the shift of a game out of the fiscal year, so no real impact on the company’s long-term prospects”, said Wedbush securities analyst Michael Pachter.But the company’s latest projection of “a little above $7 billion (roughly Rs. 58,105 crore) for net bookings” for fiscal 2025, after its last year’s downwardly revised forecast of under $8 billion (roughly Rs. 66,406 crore) dashed investors’ hopes.

They were expecting a boost from Take-Two’s Grand Theft Auto VI, the latest installment of the best-selling franchise that is set for a 2025 release.”The reduction in outlook tells you it’s (Grand Theft Auto VI) not coming next fiscal year,” Pachter added.

Third-quarter hit

Take-Two’s net bookings fell 3 percent to $1.34 billion (roughly Rs. 11,122 crore) in the third quarter, in line with analysts’ estimates.

The solid performance of games such as GTA Online and the Red Dead Redemption series was partially offset by softness in mobile advertising and sales of NBA 2K, according to Take-Two CEO Strauss Zelnick.On an adjusted basis, the company earned 71 cents per share compared with estimates of 72 cents.