Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry (METI) has stated that it is currently difficult to predict the potential impact of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, on electricity demand. While there is a prevailing view that the growth of data centers could lead to increased power consumption, METI highlighted the complexities involved in determining how emerging technologies like DeepSeek will influence future energy requirements.
In December, the Japanese government released a draft of its updated basic energy plan, a policy document reviewed every three years. The plan projected a 10-20% rise in electricity generation by 2040, driven in part by the growing use of AI technologies. However, the advent of DeepSeek, which is rumored to consume less power compared to its competitors, has led analysts to debate whether electricity demand will rise or decrease. While some suggest that DeepSeek’s efficiency could lower demand, others believe that as the technology becomes more accessible and widespread, its adoption may ultimately increase power consumption.
METI explained that the relationship between AI and energy demand is influenced by numerous factors, including improvements in AI performance, cost reductions, and the development of energy-efficient technologies. As such, it remains challenging to predict how specific technologies like DeepSeek will affect Japan’s future energy needs.
The ministry emphasized that Japan’s economic growth and industrial competitiveness will be closely tied to these evolving dynamics, underscoring the importance of considering various technological, economic, and energy-related variables when forecasting demand.