Tesla shares climbed more than 2% on Thursday after CEO Elon Musk announced plans to launch lower-cost electric vehicles (EVs) in the first half of 2025 and begin testing an autonomous ride-hailing service in June. These commitments helped investors look past a weaker-than-expected fourth quarter, which saw declining revenue and shrinking margins due to delayed model upgrades and rising competition.
Despite Tesla’s first annual decline in deliveries in 2024, the company assured investors that its vehicle business would return to growth in 2025. However, Tesla did not reaffirm Musk’s earlier forecast of a 20-30% sales increase for next year.
Morgan Stanley analysts noted that Tesla is shifting from being a traditional automotive company to a diversified player in AI and robotics. Investors remain optimistic, especially as Musk’s support for U.S. President Donald Trump could lead to more favorable regulatory conditions for Tesla’s robotaxi ambitions.
Musk revealed that Tesla will begin unsupervised testing of its autonomous ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas, though he did not provide specific details on how it would function. The company also did not share pricing details for its upcoming affordable EV models.
If Tesla’s stock gains hold, its market value could rise by approximately $28 billion. The stock surged 62.5% in 2024 and is currently trading at 118 times its 12-month forward earnings, significantly higher than Ford (6.07) and General Motors (4.48).
At least 19 brokerages have raised their price targets for Tesla stock, with a median target of $300, up from $278 at the end of December. Analysts believe that Tesla’s growth will be fueled by Full Self-Driving technology and the introduction of an affordable EV. However, some experts remain cautious about Musk’s timeline for launching robotaxis, citing regulatory challenges, particularly in Europe and China.
Tesla also announced an increase in its capital expenditure forecast, expecting to spend over $11 billion in 2025 and the following two fiscal years.
