As President Joe Biden nears the end of his term, his administration has ramped up a series of foreign policy actions aimed at challenging China and Russia while promoting advances in artificial intelligence (AI). These last-minute measures include imposing new sanctions on Russian oil producers, restricting semiconductor chip exports, and addressing Chinese shipbuilding practices, among others. However, some analysts and political strategists believe that these efforts might inadvertently strengthen the incoming Trump administration, giving it fresh leverage in future negotiations.
Biden’s Final Measures and Their Potential Impact on Trump
In a flurry of activity, Biden’s team has worked to implement significant policies just before the presidential transition. Among these, the administration has sanctioned Russian oil producers and shipping companies, restricted Chinese access to high-tech semiconductor chips, and even laid the groundwork for AI centers on federal land. Despite these moves, critics argue that Biden’s actions may ultimately benefit Donald Trump, who is set to assume office in January.
Biden’s actions may help Trump fulfill key campaign promises, such as raising tariffs on China, enhancing sanctions on Russia, and taking a more aggressive stance in foreign policy. Robert Rowland, a professor of presidential rhetoric at the University of Kansas, remarked that Biden’s push to shape his legacy in the final days may give Trump a head start. Rowland noted, “If Biden wanted to burnish his legacy, he should have been doing these things a year ago. It’s too late now.”
Strategic Actions in China and Russia
One of the key actions taken by the Biden administration was an investigation into Chinese shipbuilding practices, which concluded that Beijing’s support for its shipbuilders, forced technology transfers, and intellectual property theft put U.S. companies at a disadvantage. While Biden may take credit for addressing these issues, the findings also create a legal basis for Trump to impose higher tariffs on China, fulfilling his trade-related promises.
Similarly, Biden’s new sanctions on Russian oil, intended to provide leverage in peace negotiations, could give Trump an advantage. While the Biden administration has framed the sanctions as a way to strengthen the U.S.’s negotiating position in Ukraine, Trump’s team may be able to use this economic pressure to demand a more favorable deal with Russia. This could also place Trump in a position to manage potential political fallout, including rising oil prices and gasoline costs in the U.S., a consequence that Biden officials are hoping won’t negatively impact American consumers too severely.
Biden’s Coordination with Trump’s Transition Team
Despite political tensions, Biden’s team has made efforts to ensure a smooth transition by briefing Trump’s team on ongoing matters, including Russian sanctions, AI controls, and cyber-espionage. National security adviser Jake Sullivan has indicated that the Biden administration’s recent actions have been aimed at ensuring that Trump’s team has tools to work with once they take office. This approach appears to be part of a broader strategy by Biden’s team to set up the incoming administration for success while minimizing potential conflicts.
Long-Term Political Implications
Though Biden’s policies may be aimed at reinforcing his legacy, they may end up providing Trump with opportunities to capitalize on the situation in ways that benefit his administration’s objectives. With just days left in his presidency, Biden’s final moves may be reshaping the strategic landscape, but they may also end up strengthening Trump’s political standing on the global stage.